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Home > Cases > ABS & CDO Investment Losses > Why the Subprime Mess is Far from Over — The Decline in Home Prices Continues Downward

Why the Subprime Mess is Far from Over — The Decline in Home Prices Continues Downward

Recent data showed prices of existing homes plunged nationally through 2007, ending the year down 8.9% - the largest decline in 20 years. December's drop was the 12th in a row. The decline in home prices is due to the widening subprime mortgage crisis and an example of simple supply-and-demand economics — there is simply an overabundance of unsold homes.

The housing decline is the worst in more than two decades, and is moving into its third year. Defaults among subprime borrowers and those unable to meet rising payments on adjustable-rate loans have driven foreclosure filings. Foreclosures add to the glut of unsold homes. Additionally, tighter lending practices have left buyers finding it tougher to obtain mortgages. Banks may resell as many as one million repossessed properties this year, forcing prices down even further.

Many economists are forecast this decline in home prices to continue for 2008. Billions of dollars in adjustable rate mortgages are scheduled to reset this year, according to Citigroup, which will raise minimum payments for many borrowers.

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